No one
fully
believed
that a
begrudging
military
would
hand
over
power to
the new
centre-left
coalition
candidate,
Jaime
Roldós
Aguilera
, until
it
actually
did so
in
August
1979,
largely
thanks
to
Roldós'
landslide
election
victory
three
months
earlier
and some
heavy
pressure
from
President
Carter
in the
US.
Since
the oil
boom,
the
economic
landscape
of the
country
had
transformed:
per-capita
income
was five
times
greater
than
before
1972,
employment
was up
by ten
percent,
particularly
in the
public
sector,
and a
new
urban
middle
class
had been
created.
Despite
the new
wealth,
the
position
of the
rural
poor,
the
indígenas
and the
workers
hadn't
much
changed,
and
inequality
was
entrenched
as ever.
Roldós
had
plans
for wide-ranging
structural
reforms
but
couldn't
carry
them
through,
as a
bitter
rivalry
had
developed
between
him and
his
party
associate,
Bucaram
- now
the
leader
of an
opposition-dominated
Congress
- who
deliberately
set
about
blocking
the
Roldós
agenda.
By
1981,
the
economic
situation
once
again
looked
precarious.
The
country
had an
enormous
budget
deficit,
in large
part
thanks
to
overspending
by
Bucaram's
Congress.
Worse
still,
trouble
flared
up on
the
Peruvian
border,
adding
to the
financial
burden.
Then, in
May,
three
months
after a
ceasefire
was
agreed
with
Peru,
Roldós
was
killed
in an
airplane
crash
near
Loja,
fuelling
a number
of
conspiracy
theories.
His
vice-president,
Osvaldo
Hurtado
Larrea
,
stepped
in, and
tried to
push on
with the
programme
of
reforms,
but by
now the
economic
situation
was
rapidly
deteriorating.
Oil
prices
fell
sharply,
and
gross
domestic
product
shrank
by over
three
percent;
inflation
rates
soared,
unemployment
climbed
and the
Unitary
Workers'
Front
(Frente
Unitario
de
Trabajadores)
called
four
general
strikes;
El Niño
floods
caused
damage
amounting
to US$1
billion,
while
blight
ravaged
highland
potato
crops.
Hurtado
was
forced
to take
unpopular
austerity
measures
in an
attempt
to
combat a
foreign
debt
that had
spiralled
to US$7
billion.
To his
credit,
he did
manage
to
secure
constitutional
elections
and the
transition
of power
to a
second
democratically
elected
government
- the
first
time in
almost
25
years.
The
1984
general
election
was won
by
León
Febres
Cordero
Rivadeneira
and his
broad-based
centre-right
coalition.
Inspired
by the
Reagan
and
Thatcher
administrations,
the new
government
embarked
on a
"neo-liberal"
programme,
which
stressed
the
importance
of the
free
market,
foreign
investment,
the
export
economy
and the
scaling-down
of state
powers.
Yet the
government
was
plagued
by
allegations
of
corruption
and
human
rights
abuses
, and as
the cost
of
living
rose,
public
disquiet
grew. In
1986,
shortly
after a
failed
coup
attempt
by the
Airforce
general,
Frank
Vargas
, Febres
Cordero
was held
hostage
by
Vargas
supporters
and was
threatened
with
death
unless
Vargas
was
released.
The
president
immediately
complied,
an act
that was
perceived
as
cowardly
by the
public.
To add
to the
country's
woes, in
March
1987, a
serious
earthquake
rocked
the
Oriente,
killing
hundreds,
making
tens of
thousands
homeless,
and
destroying
40km of
the
Trans-Andean
oil
pipeline.
The
economy
was
crippled
as oil
production
stopped
for six
months
while
the
pipeline
was
repaired,
and
Febres
Cordero
was
forced
to
default
payment
on
foreign
debts
totalling
more
than
US$10
billion.